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Help analyzing data: Ninjistu HCI/DCI

Discussion in 'UHall' started by Lord Kotan, Nov 27, 2008.

  1. Lord Kotan

    Lord Kotan Slightly Crazed
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    I gathered some data on TC using Darts.

    One character had 120 wrestling, the other had 120 ninjistu (and wrestling, if that matters).
    ===========================================
    0 HCI vs 40 DCI:
    5/10
    7/10
    5/10
    5/10
    5/10
    4/10
    5/10
    2/10
    4/10
    5/10
    (47/100)

    0 HCI vs 0 DCI:
    3/10
    5/10
    6/10
    5/10
    4/10
    2/10
    4/10
    7/10
    8/10
    6/10
    (50/100)
    35 HCI vs 0 DCI:
    4/10
    6/10
    5/10
    10/10
    7/10
    7/10
    5/10
    4/10
    6/10
    8/10
    (62/100)

    ===================================================
     
  2. spoonyd

    spoonyd Seasoned Veteran
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    I don't think you have enough trials yet but it would suggest that HCI does help you.
     
  3. Ya... the results fall into binary distribution (rather than a normal distribution) and require much higher sample size to get significant results. What you show looks likely there is a difference, but would show no significance in a statistical test.
     
  4. Harlequin

    Harlequin Babbling Loonie
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    These are just the hit chances right? Not successfully poisoned rates?
     
  5. Chaosy

    Chaosy Guest

    LOL!

    The first time I've seen someone talk about actual statistics in UO...
     
  6. spoonyd

    spoonyd Seasoned Veteran
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    Honestly I thought UO was all about mathematics and statistics. Knowing how those work out better equips you to design a strong template.
     
  7. Maplestone

    Maplestone Crazed Zealot
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    What is the hypothesis that is being tested? That the chance is always 50-50?

    E(X)=0.5

    so ... s^2=100(0.5)(1-0.5)=25 (so s=5, or 62 is about 2.5 standard deviations away from the expected value ... still somewhere around a 10-15% chance of happening, suggestive, but not good enough for proof ... needs a bigger sample size)

    (wow I'm rusty, it's been way too long since I've done this sort of stuff)
     
  8. Chaosy

    Chaosy Guest

    I'd just rather plug it into Prism 5.0 and have it analyze for me.
     
  9. WarUltima

    WarUltima Babbling Loonie
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    Omg you reminded me of my university days. Stop it. Electrical Engineering courses STILL haunt my dreams after 4 years. I am glad its over.:scholar:
     
  10. Maplestone

    Maplestone Crazed Zealot
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    *looks down at slide rule*

    um ... yeah.

    *checks for grey hairs*
     
  11. Maplestone

    Maplestone Crazed Zealot
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    sorry :)