What exactly does it mean when the Barding Calculator says my char (100 Music, 97.2 Provo and a Normal Tambourine) has a 74.4% chance of Provoking an Ogre Lord on another Ogre Lord? Does that mean I should fail roughly 1 out of 4 Provo attempts and succeed 3 out of four times? I ask because I just experienced a remarkable string of failures. This series of four sequential sets of OLs had 14, 4, 7, 9 attemps to succesfully Provo. That's 34 attempts with 4 successes which I'll round up to a 12% success rate. If my math is any good those 34 attempts must be matched with 86 single-try, successful Provos to equal the suggested ~75% success rate. Is the Barding Calculator accurate or what? Also I trained with the OLs about 45-60 mins for maybe 5 nights and I have had 6 musically-successful (the music played properly) Provos that had no effect on the OLs...didn't even give them pause! How does this happen?