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RNG Explanation

Discussion in 'UHall' started by Fortyniner, Oct 14, 2009.

  1. Fortyniner

    Fortyniner Guest

    Let's suppose probability of an event (e.g. fizz a spell) = 1/10
    Probablility of 2 in a row = 1/100
    Probablility of 3 in a row = 1/1000
    Probability of 4 in a row = 1/10000
    Probablility that person will claim the RNG is broken if this happens: 100%
     
  2. Farsight

    Farsight Crazed Zealot
    Stratics Veteran

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    This quote is from this past June, and to my knowledge, the addressing hasn't happened yet.

    So the person who claims the RNG is broken is at least partially right (it isn't exactly broken, just prone to streakiness).

    The not-so-odd thing is that the streaks are just as likely to be successes as failures, such as the crafter who used a heartwood kit on bows and 8/15 of them got both SSI and a spell effect (I think it was fireball, can't remember).

    We never hear questions about that, just advice from friends, "Don't stop crafting now!"